Mexico will
require 391 new airplanes worth approximately $21 billion over the next
20 years, according to The Boeing Company’s annual forecast for the
commercial airplane market. The forecast represents a moderate increase
over last year’s projections.
Single-aisle airplanes will dominate the Mexican market and the Latin
American market as a whole. In Mexico, approximately 86 percent of all
airplanes delivered into the country will be single-aisle models like
the Boeing 717, 737 and 757. Six percent will be twin-aisle airplanes
like the 767 and 777, and 8 percent will be smaller regional jets.
The Sonic Cruiser was not included in the forecast, although Boeing
expects there will be a market for the advanced, high-technology
airplane in Mexico in the long term.
Mexico represents one-fifth of the total requirement for 2,012 new
airplanes worth $104 billion forecast for Latin America through 2020,
also an increase over last year’s projections.
Air travel to, from and within Latin America is expected to grow at an
average rate of 5.7 percent annually, compared to a world average of 4.7
percent. Intra-Latin America air travel will grow at a rate of 7.7
percent, making it the fastest-growing passenger market in the world.
The number of routes and their frequencies among all Latin American
airlines combined are expected to increase by 6 percent annually – a
positive trend for passengers, who are increasingly demanding a wider
selection of where and when to fly.
“Latin America, and especially Mexico, represent a very dynamic and
promising market in the next 20 years,” said Daniel da Silva, Boeing
vice president of Sales for Latin America and the Caribbean.
“Clearly the market has softened, but in the long term we expect
economic conditions to rebound and the demand for airplanes to increase
as Latin America moves further toward de-regulation, which will lead to
more route frequencies and more choices for consumers.”
Boeing continues to lead in airplane deliveries in Latin America.
Since 1988, 75 percent of all airplanes delivered to Latin America have
been Boeing models, including direct sales and operating leases. Eighty
percent of all airplanes flying in the region today are Boeing products.
Boeing estimates the world fleet will need 23,500 new jets by 2020,
worth $1.7 trillion. An additional $3 trillion in aviation services is
forecasted. The Boeing market forecast is widely regarded as the most
comprehensive and respected analysis of the commercial aviation market.
|