IATA has published a study projecting a one
million-job and EUR245 billion boost to European prosperity in
2035 from airspace modernization.
Europe is well-served by air connectivity, which
today supports 11.7 million European jobs and $860 billion of
European GDP. But it is inefficient. Average flights are nearly 50
kilometers longer than they need to be in terms of distance
traveled and delays average around 10 minutes per flight. This
inefficiency negatively impacts prosperity, productivity and
sustainability. An IATA-commissioned study by SEO Economic
Research estimated that these inefficiencies, if unchecked, will
grow to cost the European economy EUR 245 billion in 2035.
"Air traffic management inefficiency is not just a burden for
airlines. Travelers suffer wasted time from delays. The
environment suffers from avoidable emissions. And businesses face
reduced productivity. Combined, all of this has a cost on Europe’s competitiveness. And the cost is shared broadly. This study shows
that every European—individual or business—has a stake in this issue," said Tony Tyler, IATA’s Director General and CEO.
Europe has long had a plan to improve its air traffic
management—the Single European Sky (SES) project—which aims to
deliver a threefold increase in capacity, improve safety by a
factor of 10, reduce environmental impact by 10%, and cut costs by
50%.
"Europe has failed in achieving the SES goals.
Despite a strong European Commission vision and push for SES,
national interests have prevailed. The incentive to improve
efficiency is to make Europe more prosperous with the realization
of EUR 245 billion and one million jobs in 2035. The launch of
this study is a call to action across the spectrum of business and
individual interests in Europe to help deliver a stronger, more
connected economy," Tyler added.
A fully modernized and
reformed airspace in 2035 (compared to a "do nothing" scenario in
which the status quo prevails) will generate tangible benefits to
European tourism, trade and the knowledge economy. Examples of
incremental and indicative improvements include:
- 1.3%
more hotel beds to aid the tourism industry;
- Up to 2.2% faster
expansion of trade in services;
- 5.5% more patent applications
and 4.7% greater research spend; and
- 1.3% more employment in
knowledge-intensive industries.
"Predicting the future is
always fraught with uncertainty. But the starting point already
shows a clear gap. The US has one provider to manage its airspace
and Europe has 38 providers to manage a similarly complex air
transport sector. And if nothing is done, the problem will only
get worse," said Tyler.
The release of the study marks the launch of a Europe-wide campaign. IATA will be calling
on consumer groups and business associations to recognize the
broad importance of efficient air connectivity to the economy,
productivity and quality of life at the national level.
"Quantifying the value of what we are aiming for in jobs and GDP
should be a great motivator in aligning national policies and
action with a vision for an efficiently-connected and competitive
Europe. EUR 245 billion is a worthy goal!" said Tyler.
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