International tourist arrivals grew by 4.4% in
2015 to reach a total of 1,184 million in 2015, according to the
latest UNWTO World Tourism Barometer.
Some 50 million more
overnight visitors travelled to international destinations around
the world last year as compared to 2014. 2015 marks the 6th
consecutive year of above-average growth, with international
arrivals increasing by 4% or more every year since the post-crisis
year of 2010.
“International tourism reached new heights in
2015. The robust performance of the sector is contributing to
economic growth and job creation in many parts of the world. It is
thus critical for countries to promote policies that foster the
continued growth of tourism, including travel facilitation, human
resources development and sustainability” said UNWTO
Secretary-General, Taleb Rifai.
Demand was strong overall,
though with mixed results across individual destinations due to
unusually strong exchange rate fluctuations, the drop in oil
prices and other commodities which increased disposable income in
importing countries but weakened demand in exporters, as well as
increased safety and security concerns.
“2015 results were
influenced by exchange rates, oil prices and natural and manmade
crises in many parts of the world. As the current environment
highlights in a particular manner the issues of safety and
security, we should recall that tourism development greatly
depends upon our collective capacity to promote safe, secure and
seamless travel. In this respect, UNWTO urges governments to
include tourism administrations in their national security
planning, structures and procedures, not only to ensure that the
sector’s exposure to threats is minimised but also to maximise the
sector’s ability to support security and facilitation, as seamless
and safe travel can and should go hand in hand,” added Mr Rifai.
Growth in advanced economy destinations (+5%) exceeded that of
emerging economies (+4%), boosted by the solid results of Europe
(+5%).
By region, Europe, the Americas and Asia
Pacific all recorded around 5% growth in 2015. Arrivals to the
Middle East increased by 3% while in Africa, limited data
available, points to an estimated 3% decrease, mostly due to weak
results in North Africa, which accounts for over one third of
arrivals in the region.
Positive Prospects for 2016
Results from the UNWTO Confidence Index remain largely positive
for 2016, though at a slightly lower level as compared to the
previous two years. Based on the current trend and this outlook,
UNWTO projects international tourist arrivals to grow by 4% worldwide in 2016.
By region, growth is expected to be
stronger in Asia and the Pacific (+4% to +5%) and the Americas
(+4% to +5%), followed by Europe (+3.5% to +4.5%). The projections
for Africa (+2% to 5%) and the Middle East (+2% to +5%) are
positive, though with a larger degree of uncertainty and
volatility.
2015 Regional Results
Europe (+5%) led
growth in absolute and relative terms supported by a weaker euro
vis-à-vis the US dollar and other main currencies. Arrivals
reached 609 million, or 29 million more than in 2014. Central and
Eastern Europe (+6%) rebounded from last year’s decrease in
arrivals. Northern Europe (+6%), Southern Mediterranean Europe
(+5%) and Western Europe (+4%) also recorded sound results,
especially considering the many mature destinations they comprise.
Asia and the Pacific (+5%) recorded 13 million more
international tourist arrivals last year to reach 277 million,
with uneven results across destinations. Oceania (+7%) and
South-East Asia (+5%) led growth, while South Asia and in
North-East Asia recorded an increase of 4%.
International
tourist arrivals in the Americas (+5%) grew 9 million to reach 191
million, consolidating the strong results of 2014. The appreciation of the US dollar stimulated outbound travel from the
United States, benefiting the Caribbean and Central America, both recording 7% growth. Results in South America and North America
(both at +4%) were close to the average.
International
tourist arrivals in the Middle East grew by an estimated 3% to a
total of 54 million, consolidating the recovery initiated in 2014.
Limited available data for Africa points to a 3% decrease in
international arrivals, reaching a total of 53 million. In North
Africa arrivals declined by 8% and in Sub-Saharan Africa by 1%,
though the latter returned to positive growth in the second half
of the year.
China, USA and UK Lead
Outbound Travel Growth in 2015
A few leading source markets have driven tourism expenditure
in 2015 supported by a strong currency and economy.
Among
the world’s top source markets, China, with double-digit growth in
expenditure every year since 2004, continues to lead global
outbound travel, benefitting Asian destinations such as Japan and
Thailand, as well as the United States and various European
destinations.
By contrast, expenditure from the previously
very dynamic source markets of the Russian Federation and Brazil
declined significantly, reflecting the economic constraints in
both countries and the depreciation of the rouble and the real
against virtually all other currencies.
As for the
traditional advanced economy source markets, expenditure from the
United States (+9%), the world’s second largest source market, and
the United Kingdom (+6%) was boosted by a strong currency and
rebounding economy. Spending from Germany, Italy and Australia
grew at a slower rate (all at +2%), while demand from Canada and
France was rather weak.
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