Koh Samui's four-year hotel building boom is
threatening to undermine the long-term success of the destination
as supply outstrips an arrivals demand hamstrung by severely
limited airlift, according to Samui Hotel Market Update 2010,
released today by consulting firm, C9 Hotelworks.
The report reveals that oversupply heavily
impacted last year's operating performance, and if there is no
airport expansion or relocation plans that would improve access to
the island, the long-term potential of Koh Samui would effectively
be capped.
Koh Samui, Thailand's second-largest island, 700
kilometres south of Bangkok, is located in an international flight
corridor requiring low landing levels. Coupled with environmental
restrictions allowing only 36 flights a day at the existing
airport, and a runway length unable to handle larger aircraft, it
has created a situation that is strangling the popular southern
Thailand destination.
C9 Hotelworks Managing Director Bill Barnett
said, "The simple problem is that you can't stay there if you
can't get there, this is the key restricting growth in Koh Samui.
Private sector development in the hospitality sector has surged
well ahead of transportation infrastructure improvements which has
caused the market to go into a tailspin."
According to report data, gains during 2010 in
international arrivals were neutralised by diminishing European
tourists and a drop in the volume of historically strong repeat
guests. Marked declines were registered in occupancy by 7%,
average room rates by 15% and RevPAR by 26% compared to 2009.
However, Mr Barnett said that forward trading
prospects were greatly bolstered by the high quality of much of
the new supply with a number of stylish branded products entering
the market in the luxury and upscale tiers.
"Short-term there is an inherent risk of being
lost in transition over the next few years. This uncertainty is
highlighted by the ability of the market to absorb 801 new rooms
scheduled to enter the supply side by 2012, presenting a growth of
5% over the existing 14,401 rooms at the end of 2010," Mr Barnett
said.
Speaking to resort owners and hotel managers
during the market research process comments to C9 centred on the
airlift conundrum topic. Comparing the emerging destination to the
more developed markets of Phuket and Bali, what was clearly
missing in Koh Samui was regional low cost airlines and charter
flights.
"As new markets are emerging low cost carriers
and charter flights are high demand generators. An example of
competing regional destinations is the new international airport
in the emerging tourist island of Lombok in Indonesia near to
Bali, which looks set to leapfrog growth with its ability to land
Boeing 747 and Airbus wide body aircraft," Mr Barnett said. "Koh Samui's journey from an idyllic Robinson
Crusoe-like paradise to a mainstream market has hit the halfway
marker. Expectations for 2011 look to focus on the coming of age
debate and whether increasing international brands can induce
sustainable demand."
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