Travel Impact Newswire

 

Edition 37 - August 12-19, 1999

 

Distinction in Travel Journalism

 

By

 

 

 

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In this dispatch:

 

1. GLOBAL TOURISM CODE OF ETHICS TAKES SHAPE (1,558 words)

 

Summary: The World Tourism Organisation is crafting the world's first

Code of Ethics that will apply to visitors, the visited and the many

businesses that make those visits possible. And it wants to know what

you think of it.

 

2. RECOVERY, RECOVERY, WHEREFORE ART THOU? (1,914 words)

 

Summary: An Arthur Andersen analysis of the Asia-Pacific hotel

industry, and where it is heading..

 

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1. GLOBAL TOURISM CODE OF ETHICS TAKES SHAPE

 

The World Tourism Organisation, in co-operation with member countries

and interested non-governmental organisations, has been developing a

Code of Ethics for Tourism. Aimed at minimising the negative social

and environmental impacts of tourism, the code has been undergone

close scrutiny over the past three months within the WTO regional

commissions and the Executive Council. At the core of the code are the

following ten articles originally published in WTO News. The WTO says

it would like additional comments before presenting the final draft to

the WTO General Assembly in Santiago, Chile in late September.

 

Over to you, readers.... Note carefully Article 6 on Consumer Rights

which may have legal implications. Send comments to me or directly to

Deborah Luhrman, WTO Communications Director, at

<100130.3572@compuserve.com>.

 

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Article 1

 

Respect for Host Communities

 

1. The understanding and respect of the diversity of cultural values,

and of religious, philosophical and moral beliefs are both the

condition for and the consequence of tourism; the actors in tourism

development and tourists themselves are duty-bound to observe the

social and cultural traditions and practices of all peoples, including

national minorities and indigenous peoples.

 

2. Tourism activities shall be conducted in harmony with the

attributes and traditions of the host regions and countries, and in

respect for their laws, habits and customs.

 

3. The host communities and local professional actors shall acquaint

themselves with and respect the tourists who visit them and find out

about their lifestyles, tastes and expectations.

 

4. When visiting other places, tourists shall refrain from any

criminal or wrongful act or any conduct which is considered to be

shocking or injurious to the local populations.

 

Article 2

 

Tourism and Human Values

 

1. Tourism, the activity most frequently associated with rest and

relaxation, sport and access to culture, should be planned and

practised as a factor of individual and collective fulfilment; when

practised with a sufficiently open mind, it is an irreplaceable factor

of self-education, mutual tolerance and for learning about the

legitimate differences between peoples and cultures.

 

2. Tourism activities shall aim to promote human rights and, more

particularly, the individual rights of the more vulnerable groups,

notably women, children, the elderly or handicapped.

 

3. The exploitation of other people in any form, notably sexual,

breaches the fundamental rights of tourism; it is not a deviation of

tourism, but the negation of tourism and, as such, shall be strictly

prohibited and penalised.

 

Article 3

 

Protection of the Natural Environment

 

1. Following the guidelines set out in Agenda 21, all the actors in

tourism development are duty bound to safeguard the natural

environment in the perspective of continued and sustainable

development geared to satisfying equitably the needs and aspirations

of present and future generations.

 

2. Forms of tourism development which are conducive to saving energy

and reducing waste production shall be given priority and financially

encouraged.

 

3. The staggering in time and space of tourist flows, particularly

those generated by paid holidays and school holidays, shall be

promoted in such a way as to reduce the pressure of tourism activity

on the environment.

 

4. Tourism infrastructures and activities shall be designed in such a

way as to protect and ensure the protection of the ecosystem and

biodiversity, and to preserve endangered species of wild fauna and

flora.

 

5. Nature tourism and ecotourism are recognised as being particularly

conducive to enriching and enhancing the standing of tourism, provided

they respect natural environments and the carrying capacity of the

sites visited.

 

Article 4

 

Protection of Culture

 

I. Tourism resources are part of the common heritage of mankind.

 

2. Tourism policies and activities shall be conducted with respect for

the artistic, archaeological, cultural and monumental heritage of

countries, which they should contribute to identifying, protecting,

enhancing and passing on to future generations; particular care shall

be devoted to preserving and enhancing monuments and museums which are

a magnet for tourists; public access to privately-owned cultural goods

and monuments shall be encouraged.

 

3. The resources derived from visits to cultural sites and monuments

shall, at least partially, be used for the upkeep and embellishment of

this heritage.

 

4. Tourism activity shall be planned in such a way as to allow

traditional cultural products, crafts and folklore to survive and

flourish, rather than causing them to degenerate and become

standardised.

 

Article 5

 

Ensuring Benefits for Local Communities

 

1.  Local communities and populations are associated with tourism

activities and shall participate in the economic, social and cultural

benefits they generate, and particularly in the creation of direct and

indirect jobs resulting from these activities.

 

2. Tourism policies shall be planned in such a way as to contribute to

improving the standard of living of the populations of the regions

visited; tourism resorts and accommodation shall be planned and run in

such a way as to integrate them, to the extent possible, in the local

economic and social fabric; where skills are equal, priority shall be

placed on using local labour.

 

3. Special attention shall be paid to the specific problems of island

countries or territories and to fragile rural zones, for which tourism

often represents a rare opportunity for development in the face of the

decline of traditional economic activities.

 

Article 6

 

Consumer Rights

 

1. Tourism professionals have an obligation to provide tourists with

reliable information on their place of destination and on the

conditions of travel, hospitality and sojourns; they shall ensure that

the contractual clauses proposed to their clients are readily

understandable with regard to their nature, price and quality of the

services they commit themselves to providing and their financial

compensation in the event of any claims against the contract.

 

2. Tourism professionals, insofar as it depends on them, shall

guarantee security and safety, accident prevention, health protection

and the food safety of those who seek their services; they shall

develop specific systems of insurance and assistance; they shall

accept the obligation to be held liable.

 

3. The public authorities of the generating countries and the host

countries shall ensure that these rules are established and respected

by tourism professionals, and shall repatriate tourists in the event

of a serious default on their part.

 

4. The press, particularly the specialised tourism press, shall

contribute to supplying the consumers of tourism services with

accurate and reliable information; new information technologies shall

also be developed and used to this end.

 

Article 7

 

Employee Rights

 

1. Special attention shall be paid to guaranteeing the fundamental

rights of salaried and free-lance workers engaged in tourism and

connected activities, including their social welfare, bearing in mind

the specific constraints they are subject to and the flexibility

required of them by virtue of their jobs.

 

2. Workers engaged in tourism are entitled and bound to acquire

appropriate initial and continuous training.

 

3. Workers engaged in tourism shall be protected against financial or

social exploitation under the control of the national and local

administrations both in their countries of origin and in the host

countries; so far as possible, job insecurity should be kept to a

minimum; a specific status should be offered to seasonal workers in

the tourism sector.

 

4. All individuals and legal entities shall be entitled to develop a

professional activity in the field of tourism within the framework of

existing national laws.

 

Article 8

 

Tourism for All

 

1. The universal right to tourism is the consequence of the right to

rest and leisure, including reasonable limitation of working hours and

periodic holidays with pay, guaranteed by Article 24 of the Universal

Declaration of Human Rights and Article 7.d of the International

Covenant on Economic Social and Cultural Rights.

 

2. Social tourism, and notably associative tourism, which facilitates

widespread access to leisure and holidays, should be encouraged and

developed.

 

3. Family, youth and student tourism, and tourism for the elderly and

the handicapped should be facilitated.

 

Article 9

 

Freedom of Movement

 

I. Tourists and workers engaged in tourism, salaried or otherwise,

shall benefit, in compliance with international and national

legislation, from the liberty to move freely within their country and

from one state to another, in compliance with Article 13 of the

Universal Declaration of Human Rights; they shall have access to

places of transit and sojourn and to tourism and cultural sites

without being subject to meaningless formalities or discrimination.

 

2. Tourists and workers engaged in tourism are entitled to have access

to all available forms of communication, internal or external; the

safety of their persons and the security of their belongings should be

guaranteed; they shall benefit from prompt and easy access to local

administrative, legal and health services; they may freely contact the

consular representatives of their countries of origin in compliance

with the diplomatic agreements in force.

 

3. Administrative procedures relative to border crossings, such as

visas, and health and customers formalities shall be designed in such

a way as to facilitate to the maximum freedom of travel and widespread

access to international tourism.

 

Article 10

 

Implementation and Enforcement

 

1. The public and private actors in tourism development shall commit

themselves to co-operating in the implementation of these principles

and to monitoring their proper application.

 

2. The actors in tourism development shall recognise the role played

by international institutions and non-governmental organisations whose

activities are related to tourism. human rights and environmental

protection.

 

3. The same actors shall agree to refer any disputes concerning the

interpretation or application of this Global Code of Ethics for

Tourism to an impartial third party in the conditions defined

hereinafter.

 

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2. RECOVERY, RECOVERY, WHEREFORE ART THOU?

 

By Andreas Flaig, Manager, Hospitality & Leisure, Arthur Andersen,

Hong Kong

 

(This an abridged version of an article that originally appeared in

AA's Hospitality & Leisure Executive Report, Summer 1999).

 

The hospitality industry of Asia Pacific has gradually come back from

the jaws of economic crisis, which has spawned currency devaluations

and declining travel in the region since mid-1997. The outlook is

generally brighter for Asia-Pacific economies as the worst appears to

have been weathered in 1998.

 

As it tends to elsewhere, the industry will generally track the

overall economic recovery, but with a significant lag in Asia Pacific

owing to an array of factors that are aligned to constrain growth.

Markets are experiencing over-capacity (particularly in the five-star

segment), while there has been aggressive price discounting that has

brought average rates down at roughly twice the pace of the declines

in occupancy.

 

Physical assets are deteriorating due to lack of upkeep and FF&E

reserves. Adding to problems are legal systems that are dysfunctional

in governing relationships between borrower and seller. And there is a

continued widespread between bid and ask price in the transaction

market.

 

A Macroeconomic View

 

While a prolonged and painful restructuring is still ahead for many

regional economies, conference panellists agreed that financial

stability is returning to many Asia Pacific markets. Interest rates

have fallen substantially across the board, and foreign reserves of

regional central banks are rising.

 

Guonan Ma, VP, Economic and Market Analysis Asia-Pacific, Salomon

Smith Barney, cautioned that expansionary fiscal policy across Asia

may have a negative effect on the recovery, and debt restructuring is

still far from being over. Japan remains a major source of instability

in Asia, with the potential to spoil the momentum of the region's

economic recovery as this country represents fully two thirds of

Asia's GDP. In addition, there is some concern over the stability of

the Chinese currency.

 

In contrast, a number of factors are mitigating toward regional

economic recovery this year, including:

 

o Stabilisation of regional domestic demand;

 

o Increases in government spending;

 

o Price stabilisation;

 

o Plateauing of unemployment;

 

o Potential investment increases as credit conditions gradually

improve.

 

Overall growth in Asia is expected to reach between 3 and 4% in 1999,

and this upturn is most in evidence in South Korea and Thailand.

 

A Market Profile

 

Conference panellists provided a varied picture of hotel and tourism

markets in the Asia-Pacific. Broad political and economic trends

influencing recovery include political instability as a major

constraint to tourism growth in Southeast Asia. Markets like Hong Kong

and Singapore have experienced substantial declines in visitor

arrivals due to their heavy reliance on Japanese and Southeast Asian

markets in 1998. Japanese tourists and business travellers in the past

have accounted for as much as 30% of Hong Kong's visitor arrivals and

this steady element of market demand disappeared almost overnight as

the economic crisis deepened.

 

The tourism downturn, as a result, has led to greater price

discounting by hotels, particularly in markets like Hong Kong.

Domestic demand for food and beverage also has contracted measurably

with the crisis. In times of economic stress like these, relationships

between owners and management companies are strained, suggesting that

both sides will need patience and care to optimise the end result. And

hotel development is largely at a standstill throughout Asia-Pacific

with some exceptions in India, North Asia and Australia. Recent

openings of luxury hotels included The Peninsula in Bangkok, the

Shangri-La and Grand Hyatt in Shanghai and the Mandarin Oriental in

Kuala Lumpur.

 

Governments and tourism boards throughout the region with the support

of the private sector will need to encourage new demand through more

aggressive marketing campaigns in key markets. ''Amazing Thailand''

has been extremely successful and should be used as a blueprint.

 

On the positive side of the ledger, significant strides have been made

by owners and managers alike to reduce labour and other operating

costs at both the corporate and property level. The relatively mature

tourism markets such as Bali (with good infrastructure and access),

Seoul (with favourable supply) and Bangkok are set to recover earlier

than other Asian markets. Hotel supply growth is likely to focus on

branded limited-service products in cities and luxury resorts. The

markets to watch for resort expansion are Phuket, Bali and the

Maldives with new city hotels coming on line in Hong Kong, Shanghai,

Delhi, Seoul, Taipei and Tokyo.

 

Regional trends shaping the hospitality markets are reflected in

visitor arrivals, occupancies and yields for hotel companies:

 

Visitor Arrivals

 

These numbers showed steep declines in 1998 compared to the previous

year in most countries, including Hong Kong (down 7.7%), Singapore

(down 4.5%), Australia (down 3.5%) and Indonesia (down 16.7%).

Thailand, Malaysia and South Korea were the bright spots in the region

in terms of tourist arrivals, which saw a strong growth in 1998 over

1997. Hong Kong was up 14% on year-to-date figures for January and

February of 1999. But it is important to look at expenditures, as well

as visitor arrivals, in these key markets.

 

Although the visitor arrivals are slightly up, the expenditures by

tourists are not moving in the same direction, providing further

evidence that the market demand is shifting in some locations.

 

Yields and Occupancy

 

Operating performance figures furnished by Arthur Andersen's

Benchmarking survey for 17 Asia-Pacific cities also draw a clear

picture of the market's volatility. There have been drastic changes in

revenue-per-available room (yield). Jakarta's yield, for example, (in

US$ terms) fell 54% in 1998 over 1997. Kuala Lumpur was down 50%,

while Bali dropped 40%. In contrast, Bangkok showed a yield decline of

only 3%, followed by Tokyo's 7% and Taipei's 10% drop in RevPar in

1998 over 1987. In the first three months of 1999, Bangkok, Tokyo and

Seoul showed positive growth in yield after two years of decline.

 

Hotel Market Business Cycle

 

Hotel markets are in various phases throughout the business cycle. The

Philippines, China, Singapore and Hong Kong seem to have passed the

peak and are now in a downward cycle. The length of that cycle will

depend primarily on general economic conditions and on the

demand-supply equation. Both Malaysia and Indonesia are currently

going though a severe trough. In the case of Malaysia this was caused

by a very significant increase in hotel supply. In Indonesia, however,

the political and economic instability in 1998 was the principal

reason for the poor state of its hotel market. Taiwan, Seoul and parts

of Australia are in an upswing nearing its peak.

 

An Investment Profile

 

The conference also dealt with issues from the international

investor's perspective, including the bleak record of recent hotel

transaction activity in Asia. Antony Karp, Executive Vice President of

Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels, profiled the current state of the market.

There are 1.6 million hotel rooms in Asia, with China, Japan and

Thailand accounting for 77% of that total. Since 1998, however, there

have been only eight Asian-based transactions totalling 3,200 rooms

(0.2% of total market). The transaction turnover has amounted to

US$300 million or US$95,000 per room.

 

Meanwhile in Japan and Korea, U.S. funds have been keen to acquire

debt rather than assets at 20 to 30% of replacement costs. The gap

between buyers and sellers, however, remains between 10% (in Bali and

Bangkok) and 40% (in Kuala Lumpur and Jakarta). Many funds have thus

preferred to use the route of acquiring debt rather than negotiate

with often reluctant owners who seem to want to weather the storm.

 

Whether the funds will ever be able to control the assets in the

future will largely depend on the execution the prevailing foreclosure

laws. In countries where these bankruptcy and foreclosure laws are not

yet widely implemented, financial institutions and funds have been

more conservative in acquiring debt.

 

Also shaping the investment market are the government-run asset

management companies (AMCs), which are currently buying up

non-performing loans supposedly based on market value as part of a

restructuring of the local hotel industry. Some of the AMCs are

currently in the loan management stage, while others are contemplating

either management with the help of new operators or disposal of assets

to domestic and foreign investors through open tender or private

placement.

 

If the AMCs decide to sell, the inactive acquisitions market may turn

around rather quickly, and price levels will be set to trigger further

sales elsewhere. The market needs liquidity, but the AMCs are aware of

the implications if they are seen to be "selling out their country" --

most likely to foreign investors as funds domestically are scarce.

 

The outlook for hotel transactions in 1999 looks thus somewhat more

promising with Bangkok, Phuket and Bali likely to see some "action."

Yields are forecast to stay below 10%, while debt funding will become

a transaction requirement. As market fundamentals continue to recover,

some liquidity will also return to the hotel industry.

 

The Commercial Framework - Structural Reform

 

The unfavourable investment environment has clearly turned investors

away. Attracting them back will be a significant element in the

recovery. But insufficient regulatory enforcement remains one of the

most formidable obstacles to foreign investment. In some economies,

bankruptcy and insolvency regulations have not been implemented

effectively. Many banks have had their hands tied in terms of

foreclosing on properties that are for all practical purposes

bankrupt.

 

In Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand, owners thus have little pressure

to realise sales as lenders have no rights to pressure owners to sell

assets. Newly passed insolvency legislation is being scrutinised by

the market in Bangkok, and activity is expected as a result in the

second half of this year.

 

In many cases, neither owners nor lenders have been prepared to

restructure over-valued assets on balance sheets. Reform actions

directed at legal and bankruptcy rules have not been effective. In

some cases, there appears to be little appetite or will to reform.

 

Legal reforms must establish clear property and creditors security,

Penny Goh, Partner of Allen & Gledhill, told the conference. Courts

must be empowered to honour contractual rights in obligations of

lenders and borrowers. And effective insolvency laws should simplify

bankruptcy proceedings and regulate distribution of assets with

particular attention to improving legal procedures for realisation of

securing collateral without being subject to costly and time-consuming

court procedures.

 

If the required legal reforms are not quickly and effectively

implemented, the inflow of foreign capital necessary for debt

restructuring will be slowed. ''This will be a major setback in the

effort for economic recovery,'' remarked Penny Goh.

 

Looking Ahead

 

As the hospitality industry recovers and some of the traditional

relationships so often tightly held and obscured from view are

restructured, we can expect to see a greater openness that will, in

turn, encourage an increased flow of capital into the region. And as

the region emerges from this financial crisis, opportunities will

emerge.

 

Arthur Andersen, for example, estimates that only 17% of the hotel

supply in Asia Pacific is branded. This suggests significant potential

for expansion of internationally branded marketing systems in the

future. In the wake of financial restructuring, we can also expect to

see more consolidation of the industry, as has been so much in

evidence elsewhere in the world.

 

And as for a timetable for recovery, the concerns and promise for the

Asia Pacific region were summed up thus: "We expect that the recovery

generally will take hold in the second half of 1999 with progress more

apparent in the first year of the new millennium and beyond. When we

meet again next year, I think that the tide will have turned

significantly and improvements in performance will be apparent. Not

all the region's problems will have been resolved, but we will be a

few steps closer on that path."

 

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Travel Impact Newswire is the Asia-Pacific's first email travel

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issues that impact on the Asia-Pacific Travel & Tourism industry.

Distributed every week to senior industry executives, consultants,

academics and media.